Estimate the value implied by operating assumptions and future free cash flow.
Enterprise value$12.48M4.7x revenue
Equity value$10.38MImplied price per share $42.16 · TV share of EV 86%
Free cash flow forecast
Unlevered free cash flow, USD millions
Y1$0M
Y2$0M
Y3$0M
Y4$0M
Y5$1M
Value bridge
PV of forecast cash flows$2M
PV of terminal value$11M
Enterprise value$12M
Forecast drivers and projection detail
| Driver | Y1 | Y2 | Y3 | Y4 | Y5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rev growth % | |||||
| EBIT margin % | |||||
| D&A % rev | |||||
| CapEx % rev | |||||
| ΔNWC % Δrev | |||||
| Revenue | 3.0 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| FCF | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| PV(FCF) | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Terminal value assumptions
Terminal Value
?
The steady long-term growth rate assumed after the explicit forecast period.
%
?
The valuation multiple assumed when selling or valuing the business at the end of a forecast.
x
Implied g from exit multiple: 5.70%
Gordon PV(TV)
$7M
Exit Multiple PV(TV)
?
The valuation multiple assumed when selling or valuing the business at the end of a forecast.
$15M
Additional analysis
| WACC \ g | 1.50% | 2.00% | 2.50% | 3.00% | 3.50% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6.50% | $49.08 | $51.12 | $53.66 | $56.93 | $61.30 |
| 7.50% | $44.05 | $45.39 | $47.00 | $48.97 | $51.44 |
| 8.50% | $40.12 | $41.06 | $42.16 | $43.46 | $45.02 |
| 9.50% | $36.90 | $37.59 | $38.38 | $39.29 | $40.36 |
| 10.50% | $34.17 | $34.70 | $35.29 | $35.96 | $36.73 |
Reverse DCF — what's priced in?
$
Implied revenue growth: 15.52%
Valuation charts
Tornado — price sensitivity
Methodology
Methodology keeps the DCF bridge visible. Free cash flow is projected from operating assumptions, discounted at WACC, extended through terminal value, then bridged from enterprise value to equity value.
Free cash flow (unlevered)
Present value (mid-year convention)
Terminal value (Gordon, 1959)
Equity bridge (Modigliani-Miller, 1958)
Price per share
References
- Irving Fisher, The Theory of Interest, 1930.Reference context for time value of money, discounting, present value, and interest-rate mathematics.
- Franco Modigliani and Merton H. Miller, The Cost of Capital, Corporation Finance and the Theory of Investment, American Economic Review, 1958.Reference context for capital structure, cost of capital, and enterprise/equity valuation framing.
- Myron J. Gordon, Dividends, Earnings, and Stock Prices, Review of Economics and Statistics, 1959.Reference context for constant-growth valuation and terminal-growth constraints.
For educational and informational purposes only. Not financial advice.